Posts Tagged ‘Red Sox’

State of the Mets Rotation

May 22, 2009

JohanHappy Johan Santana Day! (a.k.a. The Great Santana) What, don’t you say that every time Mets Ace Johan Santana is scheduled to take the mound? Before he does, let’s take a look at the state of the Mets rotation.

This time through the rotation the Mets will be showcasing Johan Santana, Mike Pelfrey, Tim Redding, John Maine and Livan Hernandez.

Let’s see how they’ve done this year and what we might expect from this this week:

Johan Santana (5-2):

Santana won the NL Pitcher of the Month Award in April and is well on his way to another Cy Young caliber season. In his last start, Santana allowed six runs, four earned on 11 hits against the San Francisco Giants but still managed to get a Win thanks to some great hitting by the Mets.

As fangraphs.com points out here,

Santana is primed for a huge season. In 39.2 innings this season, Santana has punched out a jaw-dropping 54 batters (12.25 K/9), which is the highest rate of his career. His FIP sits at a microscopic 2.03, and he has compiled 1.7 WAR already.

In his last start against the Red Sox, Santana allowed one run on 7 hits in 5 innings.

Mike Pelfrey (4-1):

Mike PelfreyPelfrey had a case of the Yips last week. He allowed 2 runs on 6 hits against the San Francisco Giants but suffered his first loss of the season as the Mets were unable to score on Matt Cain and the Giants bullpen.

Pelfrey is sporting a 1.54 WHIP, .286 BABIP, and a 5.23 FIP. Most striking is his 0.65 K/BB ratio, the worst in his career. However, his GB/FB ratio stands at 1.80, the best of his career.

Tim ReddingTim Redding (0-0):

Redding allowed two runs on 2 hits while walking four and striking out four in six innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Nonetheless, the Mets made 5 errors and left 11 on base, and in the 11th, had probably one of the worse innings in baseball this year (Glad I went to bed after the 10th).

I won’t bore you with any stats, since one game is not enough to go off of.

John MaineJohn Maine (3-3):

Maine allowed five runs (four earned) on eight hits while walking three and striking out three in 5 1/3 innngs against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Maine flirted with disaster the whole night but hung a slider to Casey Blake for a three run homerun.

Maine is sporting a 1.42 WHIP, .260 BABIP and a 4.83 FIP. His career best GB/FB ration is 0.80 (2006) but stands at 0.91 this year. Also, Maine’s LD ratio is at 22.5%, the highest of his career.

Livan HernandezLivan Hernandez (3-1):

Livan allowed one run on seven hits while walking one and striking out two in seven innings against the Los Angeles DodgersLivan was wonderful, but the offense failed him as they left nine on base and couldn’t capitalize when they needed to.

Livan is sporting a 1.47 WHIP, .316 BABIP and a 4.65 FIP.

In his last start against the Washington Nationals last year, Livan allowed six runs giving up 10 hits in six innings.

The Mets need the rotation to continue to give the team quality starts, especially with the bats slumping. If the Mets are able to take 2 of 3 from the Boston Red Sox, they’ll come back with a 23-20 record and would’ve gone 6-5 on the west to east trip. Let’s Go Mets!

P.S. I’d love some feedback, especially about what’s missing from this post. Thanks.

State of the Mets Rotation (Part II)

January 22, 2009

Yesterday, Ken Rosenthal wrote, “The Mets and Yankees have emerged as the leading contenders for free-agent right-hander Freddy Garcia.” He also cited a major league exececutive here who predicts “the price (for Ben Sheets) will be in the $6 million to $8 million range for one year, with incentives that could push the total value past $14 million. A lucrative club option also might be part of the package.”

Meanwhile, on Monday, Jon Heyman wrote “The Mets currently have no offer on the table and believe Oliver Perez is still seeking about $60 million (for five years). Perez remains by far the Mets’ first choice for their final rotation spot and are surveying other viable starters, including Ben Sheets, as well as Randy Wolf and Jon Garland.”

As I wrote last week, it seems to me that if the Mets wanted to, they could afford both Perez and Sheets while remaining under $160 million. Click here for the updated 40 man roster with salary projection and here I’ve added Perez and Sheets.
Given that all teams (except the Yankees) seem to be saving for a rainy day, I’d guess the Mets will only sign one of Perez and Sheets. I’m okay with that, as long as they also sign one of Jon Garland and Randy Wolf  who have been reported to be requiring a $6 – $8 million deal. Ideally, the Mets would also sign one of Freddy Garcia or Pedro Martinez for $5 million on incentives based contracts (to give the team pitching depth similar to the Red Sox’s Brad Penny and John Smoltz deals).
That would give the Mets the following rotation depth:
  1. Johan Santana
  2. Oliver Perez or Ben Sheets
  3. Mike Pelfrey
  4. John Maine
  5. Jon Garland or Randy Wolf
  6. Freddy Garcia or Pedro Martinez
  7. Tim Redding
  8. Jonathan Niese

If you were the Mets GM what pitcher(s) would you sign?

January 12, 2009

Now that the Mets have signed Tim Redding to a one year deal worth $2.25 million, if you were the Mets GM, Omar Minaya, what pitcher(s) would you sign next?

I prefer Lowe because of his consistency, but not at four years. In the end, though, I hope the Mets sign Derek Lowe, Pedro Martinez and Freddy Garcia. I really like the Red Sox signing of veterans Brad Penny and John Smoltz to compete for the last spot in the rotation and to fill-in in case of injuries to the rotation, and think the Mets can do the same with Martinez and Garcia.

Happy Tex Day!

December 19, 2008

The Mark Teixeira Hot Stove is on overdrive today. Tim Dierkes of MLBTradeRumors has links to all of today’s Mark Teixeira news and rumors.

What it boils down to is that teams including the Red Sox have made offers to Mark Teixeira capping at around 8 years and $180 million. So it seems that within the next week Teixeira will be cutting the list down to a couple of teams to let them make their final offers before he decides.
With the Angels signing Juan Rivera, they now have 5 outfielders, making any further outfielder signings unlikely. They still need to add a bat to protect Vladimir Guerrero, so if they do not end up signing Teixeira, the Angels may have to look into trading for a first baseman or they can promote Kendry Morales to play first  base. I still believe this will come down to the Angels or the Mets. Either way, it’ll be interesting to follow this story and see how it effects the Mets.

Olney on Teixeira

December 15, 2008

ESPN’s Buster Olney discusses why the Nationals and Orioles shouldn’t be pursuing Mark Teixeira, adding “They should not be bidding. They should call Scott Boras, the agent for Teixeira, three minutes ago and tell him — like someone who accidentally raises his hand at an auction — Look, sorry for the misunderstanding, but we made a mistake. We really didn’t mean to make that $160 million offer.”

This is pretty much what I’ve written before about these two teams. It just does not make sense for them to go after Mark Teixeira; they have a long way to become a winning team. Frankly, if I were a Nationals or Orioles fan, I’d want the team to build from the ground up the way the Rays and Brewers have.
It may well be that the Nationals and Orioles will not get into a bidding war for Mark Teixeira and the Red Sox and Yankees are only “in” to keep each other away. So this might be the perfect situation for the Angels or a mystery team (hopefully the Mets) to come in and sign Teixeira.

Angels Make Eight Year Offer

December 14, 2008

Bill Shaikin of the L.A. Times reports, “The Angels have offered an eight-year contract to Mark Teixeira” and it is believed to be worth around $160 million.” The Orioles have offered a seven-year contract worth $140-$150 million, while the Nationals have offered eight-years and $160 million. The Yankees and Red Sox are also rumored to be in the mix but there have been no reports of an offer being made from either team.

I’m interested to know what the Red Sox and Yankees have offered, if they have.  The Angels, Orioles and Nationals all need a First Baseman, while the Red Sox and Yankees have some options beyond 2009.
With the trades of Aaron Heilman, Joe Smith and Scott Schoeneweis and the addition of Francisco Rodriguez and J.J. Putz, Omar Minaya may be done tinkering with the bullpen and likely will begin to focus on acquiring one or two starting pitchers. Then we will hopefully see the Mets get in the mix for Mark Teixeira or another bat for the lineup.

Teixeira Rumors: Day Three of Winter Meetings

December 10, 2008

Here’s MLBTradeRumors.com’s, Mark Teixeira rumors for today.

  1. Mike DiGiovanni of the L.A. Times discusses the current market for Mark Teixeira, saying “The Boston Red Sox have emerged as front-runners, and the Washington Nationals, who appear willing to offer eight years and $160 million, could make the most lucrative bid.”
  2. Dave Sheinin of the Washington Post says, “there doesn’t appear to be much chance of Mark Teixeira signing a contract on the premises of the Bellagio Hotel.”
  3. Jon Heyman of Sports Illustrated believes Mark Teixeira will get his 10 year $200 million contract.
  4. Jose Mota of Yahoo! Sports reports that the Nationals have offered Mark Teixeira a 7 year $150 million contract.
  5. Ken Rosenthal of Fox Sports reports, “Teixeira, according to two major-league sources, would prefer to be on the east coast for family reasons.”

Things seem to be heating up, especially after the Yankees reported signing of C.C. Sabathia. That the Angels are pursuing Teixeira hard is not surprising, however it has not been reported that they have made an offer. It makes sense that Scott Boras would be trying to push Teixeira to Boston so that the other Big Market teams can pursue Manny Ramirez. As I’ve said, since the Mets are an East Coast winning team it makes sense that Teixeira and the Mets could be working on something. It hasn’t been reported, but I do believe that Omar Minaya is working behind the scenes to trade Carlos Delgado and sign Teixeira.

Teixeira Rumors: Day Two of Winter Meetings

December 9, 2008

Tim Dierkes of MLBTradeRumors.com has posted today’s Mark Teixeira rumors.

  1. Gordon Edes, of Yahoo! Sports, spoke with several club execs who believe Mark Teixeira will sign with the Red Sox, because, “they want him. They have a good relationship with [agent Scott] Boras, and in the end, they have the dollars to make it happen.”
  2. Jon Heyman, of Sports Illustrated, reports that “word is gathering that the Red Sox are one of the most aggressive pursuers of Mark Teixeira, with several executives predicting he may wind up there.”
  3. Tim Brown, of Yahoo! Sports, says the Angels would be willing to go up to a seven year contract for Mark Teixeira to keep him in L.A.
  4. Ken Rosenthal, of Fox Sports, has learned that the Angels may not be the high bidder on Mark Teixeira and that some insiders believe the Nationals will offer him a deal close to his 10 year $200 million asking price.
The optomist in me is remembering the reports circulating the Johan Santana trade at last year’s winter meetings. The Red Sox and Yankees were the front runners back then, but Omar Minaya played the waiting game and got the prize for the right price.
However, not hearing the Mets as a possibility is a little worrisome. In the end though, there are many reasons why Mark Teixeira does not fit with the Red SoxYankees, Nationals, Angels or Orioles and would fit perfectly with the Mets. So until I hear otherwise, I’ll remain optimistic that the Mets will sign Mark Teixeira.

 

Gammons on Teixeira

December 2, 2008

Fire Brand of the American League interviews ESPN.com’s Peter Gammons and asks, “Why would they (Boston) want Teixeira instead of patching other holes?”

Gammons responds, “They look at Teixeira at age 28 and see a star who can produce for an easy eight years, then figure out what to do with everone else. But with the age of Ortiz and Lowell, to put Teixeira in with Youkilis and Pedroia in their primes would give them offensive predictability.”

That’s what I and many others have been saying. If you put Teixeira with Reyes, Wright, and Beltran, you have great offensive production for years to come.  Then you can fill the rest of the lineup with young and inexpensive role players like Ryan Church.

Why Boston should not sign Tex

November 28, 2008

Fire Brand of the American League discusses why the Boston Red Sox should not sign Mark Teixeira.  I don’t think Boston signing Tex makes sense either for much of the same reasons.